michaelhenke on Nostr: #Harris wins 55 (-2) times out of 100 in simulations of the 2024 presidential ...

#Harris wins 55 (-2) times out of 100
in simulations of the 2024 presidential election.
#Trump wins 45 (+3) times out of 100.

quoting note1ceu…4s8v

#Harris wins 57 (-2) times out of 100
in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.
#Trump wins 42 (+1)times out of 100.
There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ note16cn…xjge