sooly on Nostr: đIsraelâs âGiftâ to Trump? A Desperate Ceasefire Wrapped in Failure A ...
đIsraelâs âGiftâ to Trump? A Desperate Ceasefire Wrapped in Failure
A âceasefire giftâ to #Trump? No, itâs a desperate scramble by #Israel after a series of failures. Their ground invasion of #Lebanonâlike the debacle in #Gazaâhas laid bare their military limits. Israeli soldiers, unable to hold any Lebanese village, retreat after hours just to take selfies photos and propaganda videos, wiring homes with explosives and resorting to distant bombardment to avoid devastating close combat losses. Meanwhile, the Lebanese resistance has grown stronger, with missiles, rockets, and capable untraceable drones striking daily. The 70,000 Israeli troops stationed at the border are tired and feeling useless. Israeli soldiers themselves have published videos showing resistance forces launching ballistic missiles from just feet awayâa reality that dismantles Israelâs claims of having âinvadedâ southern Lebanon and neutralized its opposition.
The #military Israeli toll is undeniable: over 100+ soldiers killed, 1,000+ wounded, 43 Merkava tanks destroyed, 8 bulldozers eliminated, 2 Hummers lost, and 6 advanced drones (4 Hermes 450 and 2 Hermes 900) shot down. In a desperate attempt to control the narrative, Israel has imposed strict media #censorship, banning border coverage to hide their failures.
But this war has not only exposed #military limitationsâitâs become economically unsustainable. Israelâs total war-related costs are projected at $55.6-67.3 billion through 2025, or roughly 10-12% of its #GDP, with potential lost economic activity estimated at $400 billion over the next decade. The economy contracted by 20% in the final quarter of 2023, with annual growth plunging to 2% from a pre-war high of 6.5%, and forecasts for 2024 revised to just 1.5%.
Trade and commerce have collapsed, with exports dropping by 18.3% and imports by 42%. Private consumption has fallen by 26.9%, and business investment has collapsed by 67.8%. The labor market is strained, with 300,000 reservists mobilized, the loss of 160,000 Palestinian workers, and an expected closure of 60,000 Israeli businesses due to labor shortages. Israeli Government spending surged by 88.1% to cover war expenses, driving the budget deficit to a projected 6.6-7.5% for 2024. Defense leaders have requested an additional $5.39 billion annually. In response, Fitch downgraded Israelâs credit rating from A+ to A with a negative outlook, echoed by Moodyâs and S&P.
Yet Israel, along with its #AIPAC sponsored patron, the U.S., can simply print their way out of such economic losses by creating money out of thin airâa privilege that sustains wars and aggression far beyond their natural limits. This is precisely why resistance and #Bitcoin represent the only two true checks on such imperial overreach. The resistance imposes direct costs through military and strategic means, while Bitcoin stands as an incorruptible alternative to fiat-based inflation, making unchecked money creation more costly and ultimately less sustainable. Aggression only stops when the cost of continuing exceeds the cost of ending itâand resistance ensures that day comes sooner.
For a state built on projecting strength to attract citizenships, the reality is clear: Israelâs military failures and economic collapse expose a state weakened by its own ambitions. The resistance has proven to be the only barrier to Israelâs expansionist historical dreamsâsymbolized by the two blue stripes on its flag, representing expansion from the Nile to the Euphrates. Israelâs attempt to promote settlement narratives in #Lebanon and teach its children that South Lebanon is ârightfully theirsâ through a new childrenâs book reveals the depth of this ambition. Without resistance, #Netanyahu would continue provoking #Tehran, baiting a retaliation against Tel Aviv, to justify attacks on #Iranâs nuclear facilities and drag the U.S. into another war even at a global economic costâall in pursuit of the âGreater Israelâ agenda.
So, Israelâs âgiftâ to Trump? A crumbling ceasefire planâoffered not from strength, but because it can no longer afford the cost of its imperial ambitions.
#Geopolitics #Nostr #Introductions
A âceasefire giftâ to #Trump? No, itâs a desperate scramble by #Israel after a series of failures. Their ground invasion of #Lebanonâlike the debacle in #Gazaâhas laid bare their military limits. Israeli soldiers, unable to hold any Lebanese village, retreat after hours just to take selfies photos and propaganda videos, wiring homes with explosives and resorting to distant bombardment to avoid devastating close combat losses. Meanwhile, the Lebanese resistance has grown stronger, with missiles, rockets, and capable untraceable drones striking daily. The 70,000 Israeli troops stationed at the border are tired and feeling useless. Israeli soldiers themselves have published videos showing resistance forces launching ballistic missiles from just feet awayâa reality that dismantles Israelâs claims of having âinvadedâ southern Lebanon and neutralized its opposition.
The #military Israeli toll is undeniable: over 100+ soldiers killed, 1,000+ wounded, 43 Merkava tanks destroyed, 8 bulldozers eliminated, 2 Hummers lost, and 6 advanced drones (4 Hermes 450 and 2 Hermes 900) shot down. In a desperate attempt to control the narrative, Israel has imposed strict media #censorship, banning border coverage to hide their failures.
But this war has not only exposed #military limitationsâitâs become economically unsustainable. Israelâs total war-related costs are projected at $55.6-67.3 billion through 2025, or roughly 10-12% of its #GDP, with potential lost economic activity estimated at $400 billion over the next decade. The economy contracted by 20% in the final quarter of 2023, with annual growth plunging to 2% from a pre-war high of 6.5%, and forecasts for 2024 revised to just 1.5%.
Trade and commerce have collapsed, with exports dropping by 18.3% and imports by 42%. Private consumption has fallen by 26.9%, and business investment has collapsed by 67.8%. The labor market is strained, with 300,000 reservists mobilized, the loss of 160,000 Palestinian workers, and an expected closure of 60,000 Israeli businesses due to labor shortages. Israeli Government spending surged by 88.1% to cover war expenses, driving the budget deficit to a projected 6.6-7.5% for 2024. Defense leaders have requested an additional $5.39 billion annually. In response, Fitch downgraded Israelâs credit rating from A+ to A with a negative outlook, echoed by Moodyâs and S&P.
Yet Israel, along with its #AIPAC sponsored patron, the U.S., can simply print their way out of such economic losses by creating money out of thin airâa privilege that sustains wars and aggression far beyond their natural limits. This is precisely why resistance and #Bitcoin represent the only two true checks on such imperial overreach. The resistance imposes direct costs through military and strategic means, while Bitcoin stands as an incorruptible alternative to fiat-based inflation, making unchecked money creation more costly and ultimately less sustainable. Aggression only stops when the cost of continuing exceeds the cost of ending itâand resistance ensures that day comes sooner.
For a state built on projecting strength to attract citizenships, the reality is clear: Israelâs military failures and economic collapse expose a state weakened by its own ambitions. The resistance has proven to be the only barrier to Israelâs expansionist historical dreamsâsymbolized by the two blue stripes on its flag, representing expansion from the Nile to the Euphrates. Israelâs attempt to promote settlement narratives in #Lebanon and teach its children that South Lebanon is ârightfully theirsâ through a new childrenâs book reveals the depth of this ambition. Without resistance, #Netanyahu would continue provoking #Tehran, baiting a retaliation against Tel Aviv, to justify attacks on #Iranâs nuclear facilities and drag the U.S. into another war even at a global economic costâall in pursuit of the âGreater Israelâ agenda.
So, Israelâs âgiftâ to Trump? A crumbling ceasefire planâoffered not from strength, but because it can no longer afford the cost of its imperial ambitions.
#Geopolitics #Nostr #Introductions
quoting note1fnjâŚwkdnImagine living in a building where one neighbor forcefully moves in, violently evicting the majority of the buildingâs flat-owners. This neighbor then occupies one of your roomsâjust like that, for decades. To make matters worse, they install cameras and microphones in your bedroom, living room, and even your bathroom, monitoring your every move at will. Whenever you or other flat-owners in the buildingâor even nearby neighborsâtry to resist, youâre all shot at: newborns, children, women, and men. But that same despicable neighbor controls the media and academia, manipulating narratives so youâre not even allowed to name the injustice. Instead, youâre expected to obey and submit like a traumatized, abused animal.
This neighbor is Israel. No one âinvitedâ retribution. If you havenât been paying attention to the almost 50,000 massacred civilians in Gaza, or the thousands killed in Lebanon in 1976, 1982, 2006, and now in 2024, I urge you to learn the history. I refuse to act as a traumatized, defeated victim. When I see a killer occupying one of my rooms after massacring tens of thousands of my neighbors, I refuse to cower and accept it. If you choose to live that way, that is your choiceâbut millions like me will not.
Lebanon is far greater than any one political party. When a genocidal aggressor oppresses our sovereignty, violates our independence, and targets our civilians, our internal differences become secondary. In war, when faced with an enemy intent on domination, I stand with my fellow Lebanese siblings to defend our land and dignityânot side with an aggressor seeking our submission. This fight is about survival, dignity, and the right to live free from tyranny.
And as for what Lebanese women can and cannot wearâgo on YouTube, see for yourself, and realize just how wrong and brainwashed you have been.