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亚洲金融 Asia Finance /
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2023-11-24 23:23:50

亚洲金融 Asia Finance on Nostr: ...

重磅:过去4次10年期减1年利差国债收益率曲线倒挂,导致了90年代经济衰退、互联网泡沫破灭、全球金融危机和2020年经济衰退。这次有什么不同吗?特别是,亚洲金融(AsiaFinance)发现,我们现在正处于美联储当前加息周期的第21个月,当我们进入第24个月时,经常会看到股市翻滚,美联储试图快速降息,或者两者兼而有之。

10-Year/1-Year Treasury Yield Curve has inverted in the last four instances, preceding the 1990s recession, the Dotcom Bust, the Global Financial Crisis, and the 2020 Recession. The crucial question arises: Is this time different?

Furthermore, AsiaFinance has observed that we are currently in the 21st month of the Fed's ongoing rate hike cycle. Historically, by month 24, patterns emerge, with the stock market potentially rolling over, prompting swift rate cuts by the Fed, or a combination of both.
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npub1p4l5x7nmlpd2gzz3h2zkld6jp3q6aa8xlmj95a7fufr26cyqw4ks9emrv5