John Quiggin on Nostr: I can't see the Liberals forming a minority government in Tasmania. Labor+Greens will ...

I can't see the Liberals forming a minority government in Tasmania. Labor+Greens will almost certainly have more seats, and neither Lambie nor the independents is particularly well disposed.

If Rockliff tries and fails, Labor will have the choice of governing with Green/independent support/toleration, or else sending the public back to the polls. The first option has benefits and costs, the second has big costs and no benefits.