Rabble on Nostr: Interesting, the fivethirtyeight predictions for the presidential election results ...

Interesting, the fivethirtyeight predictions for the presidential election results are trailing the prediction markets. Trump passed Harris as the predicted winner on October 9th in the markets and October 18th in the 538 prediction.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

Cause or effect? The methodology of the 538 prediction is tha they’re NOT using prediction markets.