Jonathan Kamens on Nostr: Nowadays the election is the thing I'm _least_ hopeless about. The polls seem to be ...
Nowadays the election is the thing I'm _least_ hopeless about.
The polls seem to be weighting their results to reflect the 2020 or 2022 voting demographics.
But the 2024 voting demographics are going to be nothing like 2020 or even 2022, because of Dobbs and Harris.
Remember that most polls predicted a red wave in 2022. How'd that work out?
A victory for the Democrats definitely isn't a sure thing, but I'm confident it's more likely than the polls are saying.
The polls seem to be weighting their results to reflect the 2020 or 2022 voting demographics.
But the 2024 voting demographics are going to be nothing like 2020 or even 2022, because of Dobbs and Harris.
Remember that most polls predicted a red wave in 2022. How'd that work out?
A victory for the Democrats definitely isn't a sure thing, but I'm confident it's more likely than the polls are saying.