Chris Goward on Nostr: According to The Fourth Turning theory: What Will 2070 Be Like? By 2070, the world ...
According to The Fourth Turning theory:
What Will 2070 Be Like?
By 2070, the world will likely be deep into the Second Turning of the new cycle, meaning society will be in an Awakening phase following the resolution of the current Fourth Turning crisis (expected to peak in the 2020s or 2030s). Here’s what this could mean in detail:
1. The Post-Crisis World Order
By 2070, the institutions and power structures that emerged victorious from the Fourth Turning will be firmly entrenched. Just as the post-World War II era saw the rise of international institutions like the UN, NATO, and the Bretton Woods system, 2070 will see a dominant global order built on the lessons of the prior crisis.
• If the current crisis results in a multipolar world, we may see a new geopolitical framework similar to a Cold War 2.0, with rival spheres of influence.
• If the crisis leads to a major technological revolution, such as AI governance or blockchain-based institutions, we may see a radically different system of governance.
• If authoritarianism is a response to global chaos, 2070 might be a time of strict centralization and control, similar to the post-WWII era but with advanced surveillance tools.
2. A Cultural & Spiritual Awakening
As per the generational cycle, the Second Turning (which 2070 would be in) is an Awakening, meaning young people will reject the materialism, bureaucracy, and order of the post-crisis world. Similar to the 1960s counterculture movement that followed the “Greatest Generation,” this generation in 2070 will challenge the prevailing order.
• Massive cultural shifts: The youth of 2070 will rebel against the social norms of the Crisis survivors, likely embracing radical decentralization, new spiritual movements, and alternative lifestyles.
• Technological & AI backlash: If the Fourth Turning leads to strong AI-driven governance, we could see a humanist rebellion that seeks to return to a simpler, more organic existence.
• New forms of identity & consciousness: The counterculture of the 1960s was shaped by drugs and Eastern spirituality; by 2070, it might be shaped by biotech-enhanced consciousness, virtual existence, or post-human philosophies that challenge previous generations’ understanding of humanity.
3. The Economy & Technology of 2070
The economic system of 2070 will depend on how the Crisis resolved itself:
• If the Fourth Turning leads to a collapse of fiat currencies and a shift toward Bitcoin or hard money, 2070 could be an era of hyper-capitalism or decentralized financial systems.
• If centralized governments survive the crisis and strengthen, 2070 might be an era of highly regulated digital currencies and social credit systems.
• Automation and AI labor: By 2070, most manual and knowledge-based work could be performed by AI and robotics, leading to a post-labor society or mass movements resisting technological dependence.
• Space colonization or seasteading: If centralized power dominates Earth, there could be a movement toward off-planet societies or floating city-states.
4. Society, Family, and Culture
The Awakening of 2070 will bring a generational shift in social and family structures:
• Rebellion against conformity: If the Fourth Turning created strong, conservative institutions, expect a liberal backlash—perhaps against rigid social norms, enforced AI oversight, or traditional family structures.
• New family dynamics: By 2070, we might see biological engineering of children, post-traditional relationships, or digital/virtual families rather than nuclear households.
• Spiritual revival: Expect new religions or reinterpretations of old ones, possibly integrating AI, transhumanism, or new metaphysical insights from space exploration or neuroscience.
5. Global Power Struggles
By 2070, the world will have a dominant ideology or power structure emerging from the Fourth Turning, but young generations will be questioning it:
• If China or another authoritarian state won the Fourth Turning, 2070 could see a rebellion against its dominance, similar to the way the 1960s rejected Cold War nationalism.
• If a decentralized, tech-driven order emerged, 2070 could see a rejection of hyper-individualism in favor of community-based governance or spiritual movements.
• If the Fourth Turning created a world ruled by AI governance, the youth of 2070 might fight for human autonomy and resistance to algorithmic control.
Conclusion: 2070 as a Mirror of the 1960s
Under the Fourth Turning framework, 2070 will be similar to the Awakening of the 1960s:
• A rebellion against the status quo
• A search for new meaning, spirituality, and identity
• A challenge to the institutions that emerged from the prior crisis
• A time of cultural and ideological upheaval leading toward the next major shift
2070 won’t be the time of collapse or crisis—that will have already happened by 2030–2040. Instead, it will be the time when young people begin reshaping the future, setting the stage for the next great period of transformation in the 22nd century.
What Will 2070 Be Like?
By 2070, the world will likely be deep into the Second Turning of the new cycle, meaning society will be in an Awakening phase following the resolution of the current Fourth Turning crisis (expected to peak in the 2020s or 2030s). Here’s what this could mean in detail:
1. The Post-Crisis World Order
By 2070, the institutions and power structures that emerged victorious from the Fourth Turning will be firmly entrenched. Just as the post-World War II era saw the rise of international institutions like the UN, NATO, and the Bretton Woods system, 2070 will see a dominant global order built on the lessons of the prior crisis.
• If the current crisis results in a multipolar world, we may see a new geopolitical framework similar to a Cold War 2.0, with rival spheres of influence.
• If the crisis leads to a major technological revolution, such as AI governance or blockchain-based institutions, we may see a radically different system of governance.
• If authoritarianism is a response to global chaos, 2070 might be a time of strict centralization and control, similar to the post-WWII era but with advanced surveillance tools.
2. A Cultural & Spiritual Awakening
As per the generational cycle, the Second Turning (which 2070 would be in) is an Awakening, meaning young people will reject the materialism, bureaucracy, and order of the post-crisis world. Similar to the 1960s counterculture movement that followed the “Greatest Generation,” this generation in 2070 will challenge the prevailing order.
• Massive cultural shifts: The youth of 2070 will rebel against the social norms of the Crisis survivors, likely embracing radical decentralization, new spiritual movements, and alternative lifestyles.
• Technological & AI backlash: If the Fourth Turning leads to strong AI-driven governance, we could see a humanist rebellion that seeks to return to a simpler, more organic existence.
• New forms of identity & consciousness: The counterculture of the 1960s was shaped by drugs and Eastern spirituality; by 2070, it might be shaped by biotech-enhanced consciousness, virtual existence, or post-human philosophies that challenge previous generations’ understanding of humanity.
3. The Economy & Technology of 2070
The economic system of 2070 will depend on how the Crisis resolved itself:
• If the Fourth Turning leads to a collapse of fiat currencies and a shift toward Bitcoin or hard money, 2070 could be an era of hyper-capitalism or decentralized financial systems.
• If centralized governments survive the crisis and strengthen, 2070 might be an era of highly regulated digital currencies and social credit systems.
• Automation and AI labor: By 2070, most manual and knowledge-based work could be performed by AI and robotics, leading to a post-labor society or mass movements resisting technological dependence.
• Space colonization or seasteading: If centralized power dominates Earth, there could be a movement toward off-planet societies or floating city-states.
4. Society, Family, and Culture
The Awakening of 2070 will bring a generational shift in social and family structures:
• Rebellion against conformity: If the Fourth Turning created strong, conservative institutions, expect a liberal backlash—perhaps against rigid social norms, enforced AI oversight, or traditional family structures.
• New family dynamics: By 2070, we might see biological engineering of children, post-traditional relationships, or digital/virtual families rather than nuclear households.
• Spiritual revival: Expect new religions or reinterpretations of old ones, possibly integrating AI, transhumanism, or new metaphysical insights from space exploration or neuroscience.
5. Global Power Struggles
By 2070, the world will have a dominant ideology or power structure emerging from the Fourth Turning, but young generations will be questioning it:
• If China or another authoritarian state won the Fourth Turning, 2070 could see a rebellion against its dominance, similar to the way the 1960s rejected Cold War nationalism.
• If a decentralized, tech-driven order emerged, 2070 could see a rejection of hyper-individualism in favor of community-based governance or spiritual movements.
• If the Fourth Turning created a world ruled by AI governance, the youth of 2070 might fight for human autonomy and resistance to algorithmic control.
Conclusion: 2070 as a Mirror of the 1960s
Under the Fourth Turning framework, 2070 will be similar to the Awakening of the 1960s:
• A rebellion against the status quo
• A search for new meaning, spirituality, and identity
• A challenge to the institutions that emerged from the prior crisis
• A time of cultural and ideological upheaval leading toward the next major shift
2070 won’t be the time of collapse or crisis—that will have already happened by 2030–2040. Instead, it will be the time when young people begin reshaping the future, setting the stage for the next great period of transformation in the 22nd century.