AI6YR Ben on Nostr: Lots of uncertainty on what happens to Hurricane Beryl after it passes over the ...
Lots of uncertainty on what happens to Hurricane Beryl after it passes over the Yucatan. Per the NHC, the weather models are disagreeing on what happens next.
"The intensity forecast remains rather challenging. The uncertainty starts right away due to noticeable discrepancies in the short-term evolution of the upper-level flow in the global models. The ECMWF global model predicts ...shear over Beryl in the next 24 h and result in rapid weakening. However, the GFS model shows a very different upper-level wind pattern that would result in only moderate vertical wind shear near Beryl and thus, less weakening. "
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/030854.shtml? #HurricaneBeryl #Beryl
"The intensity forecast remains rather challenging. The uncertainty starts right away due to noticeable discrepancies in the short-term evolution of the upper-level flow in the global models. The ECMWF global model predicts ...shear over Beryl in the next 24 h and result in rapid weakening. However, the GFS model shows a very different upper-level wind pattern that would result in only moderate vertical wind shear near Beryl and thus, less weakening. "
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/030854.shtml? #HurricaneBeryl #Beryl