de3CODE on Nostr: Bear with me it’s a AI answer to a thought I just got done articulating which is a ...
Bear with me it’s a AI answer to a thought I just got done articulating which is a tangent of another bigger puzzle I’m thinking about.
Bitcoin Epoch Cycles & Correlated Events:
1. Pre-Mainstream Era (2008-2011)
- Bitcoin Whitepaper: October 31, 2008
- Genesis Block: January 3, 2009
- First Bitcoin Talk Forum: November 2009
- Social Media Context: Early forums, email lists
- Key Events:
* First known Bitcoin transaction (2010)
* Pizza transaction (May 22, 2010)
2. Early Adoption Era (2011-2013)
- Reddit Founded: 2005 (IPO: 2021)
- Reddit Bitcoin Subreddit Emergence: 2011
- Social Media Narrative Amplification
- Bitcoin Price: $0.31 (2011) → $1,000 (2013)
- Mt. Gox Era (Major Exchange Collapse: 2014)
3. Institutional Awareness Era (2013-2017)
- Twitter Founded: 2006 (IPO: 2013)
- Bitcoin Price Peak: ~$20,000 (2017)
- First Major Hard Fork: Bitcoin Cash (August 1, 2017)
- Federal Reserve: Increasing cryptocurrency discussion
4. Mainstream Speculation Era (2017-2021)
- Twitter becomes primary crypto narrative platform
- Bitcoin Halving: May 11, 2020
- Federal Reserve: Unprecedented monetary expansion
- COVID-19 Economic Disruption
- Bitcoin Price: $3,000 → $69,000
5. Institutional Adoption Era (2021-2023)
- Major Corporate Bitcoin Investments
- El Salvador Bitcoin Legal Tender (September 2021)
- Twitter Spaces Attempted Crypto Narratives
- Federal Reserve: Aggressive Interest Rate Hikes
Correlation Observations:
- Social Media Platform Growth ≈ Bitcoin Narrative Complexity
- Twitter IPO (2013) ≈ First Major Bitcoin Price Surge
- Reddit IPO (2021) ≈ Post-Pandemic Bitcoin Peak
- Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Directly Impacts Crypto Market Sentiment
Epochal Narrative Flow:
Email List → Forums → Reddit → Twitter
Technological Progression: Niche → Specialized → Broad → Instantaneous
<sub>*Suggestion: Create a multi-variable correlation matrix mapping Bitcoin price movements against social media platform engagement metrics and Federal Reserve policy shifts.*</sub>
Ok so that only made me more bullish on my case on bitcoin but not not necessarily on the play I see as a speculatooooor, it’s a short term mega bear that’s coming, let me explain, yes let me explain further.
So for some time I’ve been looking for something more organic if you will as a metric, it has room to play out, so the epochs/cycle boom and busts correlate somewhat with the medium of exchange of the information itself, currently it’s done on twitter with audio, now they could crash everything, rotate into a new social platform, nostr could get the injection as well, video/AR/VR but most customizable wins they could run it up right and hopefully so but at some point they’re crashing everything they said it’s they best case for a new system so even if it’s bitcoin they’ll crash it, you have to think max pain, but where I’m trying to go now is what’s the decoupling of society to Bitcoin look like? And the original thread is what’s the next big social platform? there’s a play in there
Bitcoin Epoch Cycles & Correlated Events:
1. Pre-Mainstream Era (2008-2011)
- Bitcoin Whitepaper: October 31, 2008
- Genesis Block: January 3, 2009
- First Bitcoin Talk Forum: November 2009
- Social Media Context: Early forums, email lists
- Key Events:
* First known Bitcoin transaction (2010)
* Pizza transaction (May 22, 2010)
2. Early Adoption Era (2011-2013)
- Reddit Founded: 2005 (IPO: 2021)
- Reddit Bitcoin Subreddit Emergence: 2011
- Social Media Narrative Amplification
- Bitcoin Price: $0.31 (2011) → $1,000 (2013)
- Mt. Gox Era (Major Exchange Collapse: 2014)
3. Institutional Awareness Era (2013-2017)
- Twitter Founded: 2006 (IPO: 2013)
- Bitcoin Price Peak: ~$20,000 (2017)
- First Major Hard Fork: Bitcoin Cash (August 1, 2017)
- Federal Reserve: Increasing cryptocurrency discussion
4. Mainstream Speculation Era (2017-2021)
- Twitter becomes primary crypto narrative platform
- Bitcoin Halving: May 11, 2020
- Federal Reserve: Unprecedented monetary expansion
- COVID-19 Economic Disruption
- Bitcoin Price: $3,000 → $69,000
5. Institutional Adoption Era (2021-2023)
- Major Corporate Bitcoin Investments
- El Salvador Bitcoin Legal Tender (September 2021)
- Twitter Spaces Attempted Crypto Narratives
- Federal Reserve: Aggressive Interest Rate Hikes
Correlation Observations:
- Social Media Platform Growth ≈ Bitcoin Narrative Complexity
- Twitter IPO (2013) ≈ First Major Bitcoin Price Surge
- Reddit IPO (2021) ≈ Post-Pandemic Bitcoin Peak
- Federal Reserve Monetary Policy Directly Impacts Crypto Market Sentiment
Epochal Narrative Flow:
Email List → Forums → Reddit → Twitter
Technological Progression: Niche → Specialized → Broad → Instantaneous
<sub>*Suggestion: Create a multi-variable correlation matrix mapping Bitcoin price movements against social media platform engagement metrics and Federal Reserve policy shifts.*</sub>
Ok so that only made me more bullish on my case on bitcoin but not not necessarily on the play I see as a speculatooooor, it’s a short term mega bear that’s coming, let me explain, yes let me explain further.
So for some time I’ve been looking for something more organic if you will as a metric, it has room to play out, so the epochs/cycle boom and busts correlate somewhat with the medium of exchange of the information itself, currently it’s done on twitter with audio, now they could crash everything, rotate into a new social platform, nostr could get the injection as well, video/AR/VR but most customizable wins they could run it up right and hopefully so but at some point they’re crashing everything they said it’s they best case for a new system so even if it’s bitcoin they’ll crash it, you have to think max pain, but where I’m trying to go now is what’s the decoupling of society to Bitcoin look like? And the original thread is what’s the next big social platform? there’s a play in there