John Carlos Baez on Nostr: npub1c9m22…z9xjd npub1ky223…rghvc no, your doubts are not legiimate. First, if ...
npub1c9m22hkc5h6zgrwkz48crhcpw6vch2rf6j97746ugl3neys86jeqyz9xjd (npub1c9m…9xjd) npub1ky223zcc4q69d8t0me4vg5uw8mw0yxeukjgvz6h92laqnenr0ajs5rghvc (npub1ky2…ghvc)
no, your doubts are not legiimate.
First, if "there is only one Universe" was a legitimate argument against using probability and statistics in cosmology, it would also be a legiimate argument against using probability and statistics when playing poker. "There is only one Universe, and in this Universe you either have a royal flush or you don't. It makes no sense to say you have one with probability 0.005%." "But we could repeat this experiment many times!" "But not in this room on Wednesday October 16th at 2 pm!"
I believe you are stuck in a frequentist interpretation of probability theory which is just not up to the job for cosmology. Maybe try taking a more Bayesian stance.
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no, your doubts are not legiimate.
First, if "there is only one Universe" was a legitimate argument against using probability and statistics in cosmology, it would also be a legiimate argument against using probability and statistics when playing poker. "There is only one Universe, and in this Universe you either have a royal flush or you don't. It makes no sense to say you have one with probability 0.005%." "But we could repeat this experiment many times!" "But not in this room on Wednesday October 16th at 2 pm!"
I believe you are stuck in a frequentist interpretation of probability theory which is just not up to the job for cosmology. Maybe try taking a more Bayesian stance.
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