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2024-01-28 21:45:06

CopoStoper on Nostr: The 18.6-year real estate cycle is a theory proposed by economist and author, ...

The 18.6-year real estate cycle is a theory proposed by economist and author, @Phil_J_Anderson & @AkhilGPatel & widely supported by others including @DarrenW006 @LandCycle . It suggests that there is a recurring pattern in real estate markets, characterized by four distinct phases: 1) recovery, 2) expansion, 3) hyper-supply, and 4) recession. The cycle is believed to be driven by a combination of factors, including credit availability, interest rates, and demographic trends.

According to the theory, the cycle begins with a recovery phase, where property prices are low and there is little new construction. This phase is followed by an expansion phase, where demand for property increases, prices rise, and new construction accelerates. The third phase, hyper-supply, is characterized by overbuilding and a subsequent drop in demand, leading to falling prices. The final phase, recession, is marked by a significant decline in property prices and a slowdown in construction activity.

While the 18.6-year real estate cycle is a widely discussed concept, it is not universally accepted, and some experts question its validity. The next major forecast for correction is 2026 & appears to me to be unfolding exactly as forecast #property #bitcoin  #StockMarket
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