BitcoinBill on Nostr: Is the #Bitcoin Halving priced in? Effective market hypothesis states all available ...
Is the #Bitcoin Halving priced in? Effective market hypothesis states all available information is already priced in. When this theory was made, one never had to reason with concrete information that would not take place for over 100 years. In order for the 21 million cap to be fully priced in it would require everyone to think on an economic timeline of over 100 years. Something that was almost impossible to do pre bitcoin. Most people fail to even think 2 to 10 years out and for those people bitcoin is about to become more valuable. So yes, bitcoin is priced in for everyone who thinks on a 100 year timeline already but what percentage of the population do you think is doing that?
Published at
2024-02-26 12:53:34Event JSON
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"content": "Is the #Bitcoin Halving priced in? Effective market hypothesis states all available information is already priced in. When this theory was made, one never had to reason with concrete information that would not take place for over 100 years. In order for the 21 million cap to be fully priced in it would require everyone to think on an economic timeline of over 100 years. Something that was almost impossible to do pre bitcoin. Most people fail to even think 2 to 10 years out and for those people bitcoin is about to become more valuable. So yes, bitcoin is priced in for everyone who thinks on a 100 year timeline already but what percentage of the population do you think is doing that?",
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