Simon Owens on Nostr: You almost have to wonder what's the point of being a presidential election ...
You almost have to wonder what's the point of being a presidential election forecaster when each candidate's chances of winning are above 30%. At that point, all you're signaling to the world is that the race is close, which is not something that we really need an election forecaster to tell us.
https://www.vox.com/politics/372217/nate-silver-2024-polls-trump-harrisPublished at
2024-09-24 15:47:41Event JSON
{
"id": "6e2ff4594b04d95464bae16b495e401fb0a1b0579900a7ac4f61585b8290de3b",
"pubkey": "55fe929927ddd3b10a8f4400c76e058841bf65c8a3c8ff36c755dff2b3c9a0aa",
"created_at": 1727192861,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"p",
"5e14fd969c211b75f558ab24a76f55ddb57687e05c40f111407cabdc588533da",
"wss://relay.mostr.pub"
],
[
"proxy",
"https://threads.net/ap/users/17841400126156740/post/18138454861353403/",
"activitypub"
]
],
"content": "You almost have to wonder what's the point of being a presidential election forecaster when each candidate's chances of winning are above 30%. At that point, all you're signaling to the world is that the race is close, which is not something that we really need an election forecaster to tell us.\n\nhttps://www.vox.com/politics/372217/nate-silver-2024-polls-trump-harris",
"sig": "37e703df64b16fda8f0c59223fbeb234ec302dca88e63d78813730982e35ab8b117c213e64bf53ab81dcab2b51b23593b458d42aca2c89a57b372f95d9b5da02"
}