Emeritus Prof Christopher May on Nostr: How likely is a majority Reform UK Govt. with PM Nigel Farage in 2029? It not easy to ...
How likely is a majority Reform UK Govt. with PM Nigel Farage in 2029?
It not easy to accurately predict the swing needed, but it seems likely a 16 point % swing would give Reform 100 seats & 26 point swing a majority; and don't forget Reform came second in 89 seats, mostly where Labour won.
If Labour disappoints (as many think it will) over the next four years & Farage spends a lot on development, a much larger Reform bloc (short of a majority?) seems plausible...
#ReformUK #election
h/t FT
It not easy to accurately predict the swing needed, but it seems likely a 16 point % swing would give Reform 100 seats & 26 point swing a majority; and don't forget Reform came second in 89 seats, mostly where Labour won.
If Labour disappoints (as many think it will) over the next four years & Farage spends a lot on development, a much larger Reform bloc (short of a majority?) seems plausible...
#ReformUK #election
h/t FT