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Asymco /
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2024-01-31 12:44:32

Asymco on Nostr: One half of one tenth of one percent (one out of 2000) of iPhone user base adopting ...

One half of one tenth of one percent (one out of 2000) of iPhone user base adopting the Vision Pro would suggest 800k units or $3 billion in sales. Most estimates of units sold in 2024 I've seen are lower than this. Early adopters (13.5% of base) are preceded by "innovators" (2.5% of base). 2.5% would imply 39 million units. So question is when will the early adopter stage begin?

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