Leo Wandersleb on Nostr: "Coplan was not provided with a reason for the raid, but the source suspects it was ...
"Coplan was not provided with a reason for the raid, but the source suspects it was political retribution since Polymarket predicted an easy Trump triumph over Vice President Kamala Harris — as opposed to traditional polls. The source also speculated that the government is likely piggybacking off liberal media reports that accuse Polymarket of market manipulation and rigging its polls in favor of Trump."
How would a prediction market even be able to manipulate elections? Who would vote differently because of ... whatever happening in a bet? I can see how a strong bet in one direction or the other can lead to complacency in both voter groups but if I wanted to see Trump voters to show up in high numbers, I would push the ratio to 48% Trump, 52% Harris and there's probably a science to the timing and exact numbers but a prediction market's leaning shouldn't turn blue voters red or the reverse.
How would a prediction market even be able to manipulate elections? Who would vote differently because of ... whatever happening in a bet? I can see how a strong bet in one direction or the other can lead to complacency in both voter groups but if I wanted to see Trump voters to show up in high numbers, I would push the ratio to 48% Trump, 52% Harris and there's probably a science to the timing and exact numbers but a prediction market's leaning shouldn't turn blue voters red or the reverse.