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2023-12-19 04:47:52

SpyMasterTrades on Nostr: The 10-year/3-month #Treasury yield spread is about to print a reversal doji on the ...

The 10-year/3-month #Treasury yield spread is about to print a reversal doji on the 6-month chart.

Typically recessions (shaded in red) begin when this spread moves substantially higher.

Earlier this year, the NY #Fed, using this chart as a recession predictor, placed the odds of a U.S. #recession starting by May 2024 at 70%. This was the strongest recession signal in over 40 years.



See more here: https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/capital_markets/ycfaq#/interactive
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