nickg on Nostr: Wild. Exponentials are very hard to comprehend. 🧠 Even after the effects have been ...
Wild.
Exponentials are very hard to comprehend. 🧠
Even after the effects have been clearly laid out.
Now apply this to everything everywhere all the time until fiat dies.
Where will we be in 30 years time? What are the 2nd, 3rd and 4th order effects of this on humanity?
#bitcoin
Exponentials are very hard to comprehend. 🧠
Even after the effects have been clearly laid out.
Now apply this to everything everywhere all the time until fiat dies.
Where will we be in 30 years time? What are the 2nd, 3rd and 4th order effects of this on humanity?
#bitcoin
quoting note177t…fw5nBased on the attached historic data of BTC vs USD Median Home Price:
2012 → 2024 overall factor: 4.3 ÷ 50,616 ≈ 0.000085
Over 12 intervals, that’s a yearly multiplier of √12 ≈ 0.46
i.e. on avg, each year it’s about 46% of the prior year (a 54% drop).
So if we mechanically continue that same avg shrinkage (× 0.46/year) from 2024 onward:
2024: 4.3 BTC
2025: 4.3 × 0.46 ≈ 2.0 BTC
2026: 2.0 × 0.46 ≈ 0.92 BTC
2027: 0.92 × 0.46 ≈ 0.42 BTC
2028: 0.42 × 0.46 ≈ 0.19 BTC
2029: 0.19 × 0.46 ≈ 0.087 BTC
2030: 0.087 × 0.46 ≈ 0.040 BTC
I know this looks and sounds crazy but hey, that's what the historic data says.
