Elon Musk on Nostr: For my time-based predictions, I generally aim for the 50% percentile date, which ...
For my time-based predictions, I generally aim for the 50% percentile date, which means that half my predictions will be late and half will be early. The press never mentions the predictions that were early, so it seems like I’m always late.
However, it is very rare that a prediction I make does not come true over time.
Published at
2024-10-12 06:45:26Event JSON
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"content": "For my time-based predictions, I generally aim for the 50% percentile date, which means that half my predictions will be late and half will be early. The press never mentions the predictions that were early, so it seems like I’m always late. \n\nHowever, it is very rare that a prediction I make does not come true over time.",
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