李老师不是你老师 on Nostr: 面对特朗普的关税威胁,一些“正能量”博主对此不以为然: ...
面对特朗普的关税威胁,一些“正能量”博主对此不以为然:
孤烟暮蝉:特朗普1.0时期和中国打贸易战,提高中国商品进入美国市场的关税,效果并不好。从2016年到2024年,八年时间过去,我们中国对外出口贸易,美国市场占中国出口的比例,从18.4%下降到了14.7%,美国市场对中国出口的重要性在降低。特朗普第二任期,再提高中国商品关税,效果会更差。
军事博主“书剑舞”表示,美国要维持霸权形象,显示中美竞争中,自己依然有能力"遏制”中国,可是手里已经没多少牌可打。“加关税会影响通膨,只能给中国加10%,给其他国家加25%。”
Facing Trump's tariff threats, some "positive energy" bloggers remain unfazed:
Guyan Muchan: When Trump 1.0 waged a trade war with China by increasing tariffs on Chinese goods entering the US market, the effect wasn't significant. From 2016 to 2024, over eight years, China's exports to the US market as a proportion of China's total exports decreased from 18.4% to 14.7%, showing that the US market's importance to Chinese exports is declining. In Trump's second term, raising tariffs on Chinese goods will be even less effective.
Military blogger "Shujianwu" states that while the US needs to maintain its hegemonic image and show that it still has the ability to "contain" China in the US-China competition, it doesn't have many cards left to play. "Raising tariffs will affect inflation, so they can only add 10% tariffs on China while adding 25% on other countries."
孤烟暮蝉:特朗普1.0时期和中国打贸易战,提高中国商品进入美国市场的关税,效果并不好。从2016年到2024年,八年时间过去,我们中国对外出口贸易,美国市场占中国出口的比例,从18.4%下降到了14.7%,美国市场对中国出口的重要性在降低。特朗普第二任期,再提高中国商品关税,效果会更差。
军事博主“书剑舞”表示,美国要维持霸权形象,显示中美竞争中,自己依然有能力"遏制”中国,可是手里已经没多少牌可打。“加关税会影响通膨,只能给中国加10%,给其他国家加25%。”
Facing Trump's tariff threats, some "positive energy" bloggers remain unfazed:
Guyan Muchan: When Trump 1.0 waged a trade war with China by increasing tariffs on Chinese goods entering the US market, the effect wasn't significant. From 2016 to 2024, over eight years, China's exports to the US market as a proportion of China's total exports decreased from 18.4% to 14.7%, showing that the US market's importance to Chinese exports is declining. In Trump's second term, raising tariffs on Chinese goods will be even less effective.
Military blogger "Shujianwu" states that while the US needs to maintain its hegemonic image and show that it still has the ability to "contain" China in the US-China competition, it doesn't have many cards left to play. "Raising tariffs will affect inflation, so they can only add 10% tariffs on China while adding 25% on other countries."
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