Gar bear on Nostr: Yeah it's crazy how it fits in 4 year cycles up til now. Maybe there's some sort of ...
Yeah it's crazy how it fits in 4 year cycles up til now. Maybe there's some sort of logical proof that could indicate the future. If the system has one element that changes every 4 years, then the outcome must be an echo of previous ones or something.
My basic understanding is that the quicker BTC grows in USD, the more the volatility also has to increase (otherwise people would just leverage and everyone would be winners.
So I think a supercycle would just be 80% drawdowns that no longer take 2 years to gain back. So maybe the measurement between crests of the waves gets shorter even as waves gets taller?🤔
I may need to go to a swimming pool to test.
My basic understanding is that the quicker BTC grows in USD, the more the volatility also has to increase (otherwise people would just leverage and everyone would be winners.
So I think a supercycle would just be 80% drawdowns that no longer take 2 years to gain back. So maybe the measurement between crests of the waves gets shorter even as waves gets taller?🤔
I may need to go to a swimming pool to test.