BroDrillard on Nostr: This part of probability never became intuitive to me. Yes, I know the maff. The past ...
This part of probability never became intuitive to me. Yes, I know the maff. The past doesn't matter, and every roll of the dice is independent. But the "long term" average also has to happen over time. So eventually X is "due" to happen.
Published at
2024-04-10 23:49:15Event JSON
{
"id": "baa4d174ce85b08f35cc5938e262fbf49a607861f73536cfc27b3f4628c1f100",
"pubkey": "e2cdfba7988d84575a57ce3cd1a4ccb1df40308c9d0ebb68240e0413d348860f",
"created_at": 1712792955,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"p",
"8f1c6bd7d1c90aa59e8b31353d244c72a5827bd9b1bf89bdb7857b81916c14fa",
"wss://relay.mostr.pub"
],
[
"p",
"95428b26bbdba9c279d4f358468d16ef4616b96fcd1c5a3248b42f357595bc0e",
"wss://relay.mostr.pub"
],
[
"e",
"26f4cf2c0bee4e861a2ad0ceebb86d3317fa9f80d89c931fe7be2f3c34d47819",
"wss://relay.mostr.pub",
"reply"
],
[
"proxy",
"https://nicecrew.digital/objects/34891c2c-1396-4fe4-bd45-085c03375810",
"activitypub"
]
],
"content": "This part of probability never became intuitive to me. Yes, I know the maff. The past doesn't matter, and every roll of the dice is independent. But the \"long term\" average also has to happen over time. So eventually X is \"due\" to happen.",
"sig": "1678fe6eb34fe2fe09948fc7c711b34b7be8b67c44e2f3ae8232317d2e687199fc9416a4be028f649ac14f72093101c0f98e4d14e8d167c7f6550ceae3faeed8"
}