What is Nostr?
pkt / Peter Todd
npub1ej4…ndrm
2024-04-30 21:31:46
in reply to nevent1q…8eee

pkt on Nostr: As for measurement of % chance of confirmation, I think that should track very well ...

As for measurement of % chance of confirmation, I think that should track very well with feerate compared to the rest of the mempool. This stuff doesn't have to be perfect. Just good enough.

Another way to do that, with a potentially simpler implementation, would be to allow replace-by-fee-rate after some timeout. Eg after # blocks have been mined with the tx remaining in your mempool.
Author Public Key
npub1ej493cmun8y9h3082spg5uvt63jgtewneve526g7e2urca2afrxqm3ndrm