Silner on Nostr: Well outlier technologies almost never survive. CDC MINIDISC Jazz drives Firewire ... ...

Well outlier technologies almost never survive.

CDC
MINIDISC
Jazz drives
Firewire

... All the way back to the recording Drum

They were all better than the majority and they all lost.

And BlueSky isn't even technically better. So I'd say it has no chance long term, unless it changes course and federates.