Kim Possible on Nostr: I've been watching the progress of #Hurricane #Beryl and I find it particularly ...
I've been watching the progress of #Hurricane #Beryl and I find it particularly disturbing, not just because of its rapid development, but also because of its ability to surprise forecasters.
🔵 Beryl was supposed to weaken significantly due to windshear, but it only weakened a little.
🔵 Beryl was supposed to get torn up by the mountains in Jamaica, but it centered on the Southern side and maintained its structure.
🔵 Beryl was supposed to take a W/NW track towards Mexico. It looks now to take a more N/NW track towards Western Texas.
What I'm saying here is that we may have two problems to deal with in hurricane season: increased storm strength and increased difficulty in forecasting (due to rapidly changing parameters).
It's not exactly that hurricanes are behaving differently, it's that changes within them develop more quickly.
🔵 Beryl was supposed to weaken significantly due to windshear, but it only weakened a little.
🔵 Beryl was supposed to get torn up by the mountains in Jamaica, but it centered on the Southern side and maintained its structure.
🔵 Beryl was supposed to take a W/NW track towards Mexico. It looks now to take a more N/NW track towards Western Texas.
What I'm saying here is that we may have two problems to deal with in hurricane season: increased storm strength and increased difficulty in forecasting (due to rapidly changing parameters).
It's not exactly that hurricanes are behaving differently, it's that changes within them develop more quickly.