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mleku
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2024-08-12 07:56:26

mleku on Nostr: a big part of why i'm skeptical about AI's actual utility is a fairly simple one i am ...

a big part of why i'm skeptical about AI's actual utility is a fairly simple one

i am something of a specialist in data encoding, and secondarily, computational cryptography, and in these areas you get to learn a lot about combinatorial complexity

creating highly compressed representations of data that fit historical records is easy

jpeg and mpeg and aac and similar media encoders precisely perform an analysis on a data set, and can massively reduce the amount of bits to represent a given piece of raw binary encoded image or sound data

many of the new swarm of AI trading bots use these new AI systems and the mathematics of training predictive text and machine learning neural networks and data compression are very closely related, and both have the same kind of issue of a ratio of error

but on top of this, you simply cannot encode a pattern that you have never seen before

you can literally feed every bit of data about price movements and related information tied to it into an AI system, and it's not gonna help you in that 0.001% of the time when something that has never before happened, happens

for perspective, this amounts to about 1 second every week that this system will not see coming

so, long story short, AI tech is not going to substantially change the real effects of "the hand of God" or "Fate" on our lives, in those moments that He throws a new thing into the mix

a machine is less likely to be able to account for this than a human who occasionally gets a whisper from Him that gives the hint how to work with the novelty

a society that entirely depends on the function of thinking machines will become frozen in time, and will inevitably decay into entropy without the ability to account for the new entropy that flows into our universe, no matter how fast it can accumulate the novelty it will always be the defender, not the attacker, and that is all assuming you can keep feeding it the energy it needs to do this
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