BTCMeansFreedom4All on Nostr: Volatility is absolutely a part of life and the natural world and should be embraced ...

Volatility is absolutely a part of life and the natural world and should be embraced as normal. I'm not trying to time natural market volatility though, that's a short term phenomenon and trying to time that is very high risk, I'm essentially trying to balance the actions of those who invest emotionally in something they don't understand and in turn be a custodian for the wealth they lose in the process.

The motions of the past are no guarantee that the future will repeat, yes, but if the forces behind those motions are virtually unchanged then the motions they lead to are highly likely to repeat in some form.

The halving abruptly increases the cost to mine a Bitcoin, this abrupt change leads to a wave-like cycle of value similar to how a rock dropped in a pond leads to ripples.
The halving is guaranteed through consensus, the resulting wave is a natural result of it.