k--f on Nostr: 期望值虽然没法精确算,大体上是可以在逻辑上说得通的。 ...
期望值虽然没法精确算,大体上是可以在逻辑上说得通的。
比如我做期货,时间拉长看,绝对胜率不足30%,绝大部分的单子介于小亏小赚,大亏的单子没有,因为错了就直接砍掉了,真正取得大的盈利的单子是很少的,但就是这极少的抓住中等以上趋势的单子,能帮我收复所有失地。
Published at
2025-03-11 06:09:09Event JSON
{
"id": "3d4e1558ce2d6b6bc3b65ac4f4a6b83cc2d2b4530bc85d953541dc56d9c439e7",
"pubkey": "81913081246d192c9a55951704270756b222094470b3171e58bb5e3c42ee8db5",
"created_at": 1741673349,
"kind": 1,
"tags": [
[
"e",
"b1469615caa82dd93da1dd4872f6330a62f547c26836075ce2989479b7498c7f",
"wss://nostr-03.dorafactory.org/",
"root"
],
[
"e",
"207936cac7075ecf524879b59435b0eb2febba1c91761beaea464ff66b5f29b3",
"wss://nostr-03.dorafactory.org/",
"reply",
"6d088b653a1bffe728b9b17e5c7afcfc18d85f70502feac83400524eb6a8d5e9"
],
[
"p",
"6d088b653a1bffe728b9b17e5c7afcfc18d85f70502feac83400524eb6a8d5e9"
],
[
"p",
"81913081246d192c9a55951704270756b222094470b3171e58bb5e3c42ee8db5"
]
],
"content": "期望值虽然没法精确算,大体上是可以在逻辑上说得通的。\n比如我做期货,时间拉长看,绝对胜率不足30%,绝大部分的单子介于小亏小赚,大亏的单子没有,因为错了就直接砍掉了,真正取得大的盈利的单子是很少的,但就是这极少的抓住中等以上趋势的单子,能帮我收复所有失地。",
"sig": "5e65843a3f0cd3a5bd4fe1819049eb4786a138d0dfd55ed94ce9cadccb32420c321a555bc9a37b128dbb1979e1815e71731c572f3bca165abc08b532e35a0854"
}