cverly on Nostr: Look man, I’m not a geopolitics expert. Just a guy that reads a lot and gets ...
Look man, I’m not a geopolitics expert. Just a guy that reads a lot and gets impatient with absolutist, uninformed opinions.
Biden should’ve done more to convince Zelensky that they can’t win and that they have to accept some losses. But he decided to let Ukraine dictate the terms.
Trump is taking the opposite approach and selling out 80 years of western alliances for his short term goals. And his positions are based on lies - like the made up $350 billion number, and revisionist history accusing Ukraine of staring the war, and claiming Zelensky is a dictator but Putin somehow isn’t.
A realistically negotiated peace probably means security guarantees for Ukraine from the US/Europe against future hostility. (Russia should repay damages, but they won’t). Russia would need assurances that Ukraine never joins NATO. Donbas and Crimea probably become a buffer zone, temporarily occupied by Russia, but its citizens should have a voice/vote in determining their own future. (But who could trust Russia to administer an honest election?)
So it’s a compromise that would leave everyone unhappy, like most compromises do. But the killing would end.
But instead of negotiating a real agreement honestly, Trump is ready to hand everything to Russia. So what does the US get out of that?
If I was China, based on what I’m seeing from the US right now, I would be planning my invasion of Taiwan.
Biden should’ve done more to convince Zelensky that they can’t win and that they have to accept some losses. But he decided to let Ukraine dictate the terms.
Trump is taking the opposite approach and selling out 80 years of western alliances for his short term goals. And his positions are based on lies - like the made up $350 billion number, and revisionist history accusing Ukraine of staring the war, and claiming Zelensky is a dictator but Putin somehow isn’t.
A realistically negotiated peace probably means security guarantees for Ukraine from the US/Europe against future hostility. (Russia should repay damages, but they won’t). Russia would need assurances that Ukraine never joins NATO. Donbas and Crimea probably become a buffer zone, temporarily occupied by Russia, but its citizens should have a voice/vote in determining their own future. (But who could trust Russia to administer an honest election?)
So it’s a compromise that would leave everyone unhappy, like most compromises do. But the killing would end.
But instead of negotiating a real agreement honestly, Trump is ready to hand everything to Russia. So what does the US get out of that?
If I was China, based on what I’m seeing from the US right now, I would be planning my invasion of Taiwan.