Ben Brockert on Nostr: There were a couple questions about the current odds of failure vs. the odds they had ...
There were a couple questions about the current odds of failure vs. the odds they had worked out at the beginning (worse than 1 in 300 of killing the astronauts), and multiple people rejected giving updated odds or even suggesting that it was possible. It seems like Nasa management has no concept of Bayesian inference, where they could update odds over time and use that to make better decisions.
Published at
2024-08-14 17:37:59Event JSON
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