Legit_Spaghetti on Nostr: nprofile1q…yrg89 This is complicated by events like US presidential elections, ...

nprofile1qy2hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnddaehgu3wwp6kyqpq02vd2yzzurgje25ue4ag4h0g3wv4p4prnu8vzkr6yas6nl7ngenswyrg89 (nprofile…rg89) This is complicated by events like US presidential elections, which hinge on astoundingly few votes (2024 was decided by 150,000 votes out of about 150 million cast, 2020 by about 50,000 votes) and have massively divergent outcomes (if Gore wins in 2000, the Iraq war doesn't happen).

The possibility space is so vast that it'd be difficult to make meaningful predictions about anything. Not quite butterfly flapping its wings, but not far off.