marionawfal on Nostr: 🚨BREAKING: CHIEF OF WAGNER BREAKS HIS SILENCE AFTER 'MUTINY' There has been ...
🚨BREAKING: CHIEF OF WAGNER BREAKS HIS SILENCE AFTER 'MUTINY'
There has been absolute silence from Putin and Wagner's Prigozhin since the mutiny, with rumors circulating about the house arrest of Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and various theories attempting to explain why Wagner halted their 'march' towards Moscow.
We know that Prigozhin, Putin, and Lukashenko (President of Belarus) negotiated a deal which included dropping all charges against Prigozhin, who will move to Belarus. The agreement reportedly included the integration of the Wagner mercenary group into the Russian military.
PRIGOZHIN'S STATEMENT:
Prigozhin has now broken his silence by releasing an 11-minute audio message providing further details on what happened and the current deal.
Here are some translated excerpts from the audio file:
"Our forces were hit by missiles and helicopters, even though we did not show any hostility.
We had planned to make a showy handover of military technologies in Rostov on June 30, but we were bombed.
Wagner was supposed to cease to exist on July 1; no one agreed to sign a contract with the defense ministry.
We began our march due to injustice. We showed no aggression, but we were attacked by missiles and helicopters.
This was the trigger.
We demonstrated how February 24, 2022, (how Russia invaded Ukraine), should have looked.
We turned around to avoid shedding the blood of Russian soldiers. We regret that we had to target Russian aviation.
The aim of the march was to prevent the destruction of Wagner. We wanted to hold those who made mistakes accountable during the special military operation.
We did not march to overthrow Russia's leadership."
PRIGOZHIN'S POINTS:
According to Prigozhin, Wagner initiated their march as a form of protest. The Wagner columns halted their progress just over 200 km away from Moscow, with the entire march spanning 780 km. When, in his view, bloodshed seemed imminent, his forces stopped.
Prigozhin does not deny that retaliatory strikes were made on Russian aircrafts, attributing it to self-defense.
As a result of the attacks, 30 Wagner members were killed.
Prigozhin claims that Lukashenko proposed a solution for Wagner to remain under Belarus' jurisdiction.
According to Prigozhin, the "march for justice" highlighted issues within the Russian Armed Forces and law enforcement agencies. He believes that if Wagner had fulfilled their tasks at the beginning of the Special Operations Forces, the outcome would have been different ("we demonstrated the outcome the Russian army was supposed to achieve").
Prigozhin is now advocating a different perspective, distinct from what was conveyed on Friday-Saturday: the march was an act of protest, not disobedience. He believes that Wagner exhibited a "master class," receiving widespread support, while the Russian Armed Forces and law enforcement agencies were weaker in comparison.
There were no remarks made regarding Shoigu (Minister of Defense) and Gerasimov (Chief of the General Staff), despite both of them previously being the focus of his apparent mutiny.
Furthermore, it appears that Wagner is being brought within the legal framework of Belarus.
Prigozhin also mentioned that one of the objectives of the march was to expose significant security issues in the country.
MY THOUGHTS:
- Prigozhin’s claim that the Russian Defense Ministry wanted Wagner to "cease to exist" is interesting, as it suggests that the 'mutiny' was more of a survival response by Wagner's chief rather than a planned event. This contradicts the earlier briefing by US Defense Officials to congressional leaders, which stated that Wagner had been preparing for such a move by gathering military equipment and personnel near Russia.
- In his audio messages, Prigozhin refrained from naming anyone, including his adversaries Shoigu and Gerasimov. This lack of confrontation could indicate that Prigozhin was either forced to back down (according to British Intelligence 'sources,' his family was threatened with harm) or that his chances of success were slim (considering the public support for Putin from many high-ranking officials during the mutiny). Another possibility is that Prigozhin's actions were not originally planned as assumed (although I doubt it, given the speed with which he advanced).
- Prigozhin mentioned that Lukashenko "offered to find ways for Wagner to continue its work legally," contradicting earlier reports that the mercenary group was to be integrated into the Russian military. If Wagner is not dissolved or weakened, it will remain a threat to Putin's hold on power.
IN SUMMARY:
Prigozhin's audio message confirms his presence in Belarus, but it provides little else. Putin's level of control over the Kremlin remains uncertain, and further actions are necessary to address the damage caused over the weekend.
Do you agree with my analysis?
WILL PUTIN'S RUSSIA RECOVER?
There has been absolute silence from Putin and Wagner's Prigozhin since the mutiny, with rumors circulating about the house arrest of Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu and various theories attempting to explain why Wagner halted their 'march' towards Moscow.
We know that Prigozhin, Putin, and Lukashenko (President of Belarus) negotiated a deal which included dropping all charges against Prigozhin, who will move to Belarus. The agreement reportedly included the integration of the Wagner mercenary group into the Russian military.
PRIGOZHIN'S STATEMENT:
Prigozhin has now broken his silence by releasing an 11-minute audio message providing further details on what happened and the current deal.
Here are some translated excerpts from the audio file:
"Our forces were hit by missiles and helicopters, even though we did not show any hostility.
We had planned to make a showy handover of military technologies in Rostov on June 30, but we were bombed.
Wagner was supposed to cease to exist on July 1; no one agreed to sign a contract with the defense ministry.
We began our march due to injustice. We showed no aggression, but we were attacked by missiles and helicopters.
This was the trigger.
We demonstrated how February 24, 2022, (how Russia invaded Ukraine), should have looked.
We turned around to avoid shedding the blood of Russian soldiers. We regret that we had to target Russian aviation.
The aim of the march was to prevent the destruction of Wagner. We wanted to hold those who made mistakes accountable during the special military operation.
We did not march to overthrow Russia's leadership."
PRIGOZHIN'S POINTS:
According to Prigozhin, Wagner initiated their march as a form of protest. The Wagner columns halted their progress just over 200 km away from Moscow, with the entire march spanning 780 km. When, in his view, bloodshed seemed imminent, his forces stopped.
Prigozhin does not deny that retaliatory strikes were made on Russian aircrafts, attributing it to self-defense.
As a result of the attacks, 30 Wagner members were killed.
Prigozhin claims that Lukashenko proposed a solution for Wagner to remain under Belarus' jurisdiction.
According to Prigozhin, the "march for justice" highlighted issues within the Russian Armed Forces and law enforcement agencies. He believes that if Wagner had fulfilled their tasks at the beginning of the Special Operations Forces, the outcome would have been different ("we demonstrated the outcome the Russian army was supposed to achieve").
Prigozhin is now advocating a different perspective, distinct from what was conveyed on Friday-Saturday: the march was an act of protest, not disobedience. He believes that Wagner exhibited a "master class," receiving widespread support, while the Russian Armed Forces and law enforcement agencies were weaker in comparison.
There were no remarks made regarding Shoigu (Minister of Defense) and Gerasimov (Chief of the General Staff), despite both of them previously being the focus of his apparent mutiny.
Furthermore, it appears that Wagner is being brought within the legal framework of Belarus.
Prigozhin also mentioned that one of the objectives of the march was to expose significant security issues in the country.
MY THOUGHTS:
- Prigozhin’s claim that the Russian Defense Ministry wanted Wagner to "cease to exist" is interesting, as it suggests that the 'mutiny' was more of a survival response by Wagner's chief rather than a planned event. This contradicts the earlier briefing by US Defense Officials to congressional leaders, which stated that Wagner had been preparing for such a move by gathering military equipment and personnel near Russia.
- In his audio messages, Prigozhin refrained from naming anyone, including his adversaries Shoigu and Gerasimov. This lack of confrontation could indicate that Prigozhin was either forced to back down (according to British Intelligence 'sources,' his family was threatened with harm) or that his chances of success were slim (considering the public support for Putin from many high-ranking officials during the mutiny). Another possibility is that Prigozhin's actions were not originally planned as assumed (although I doubt it, given the speed with which he advanced).
- Prigozhin mentioned that Lukashenko "offered to find ways for Wagner to continue its work legally," contradicting earlier reports that the mercenary group was to be integrated into the Russian military. If Wagner is not dissolved or weakened, it will remain a threat to Putin's hold on power.
IN SUMMARY:
Prigozhin's audio message confirms his presence in Belarus, but it provides little else. Putin's level of control over the Kremlin remains uncertain, and further actions are necessary to address the damage caused over the weekend.
Do you agree with my analysis?
WILL PUTIN'S RUSSIA RECOVER?