John McQuaid on Nostr: I keep seeing comments that "polling doesn't work" because of some mix of recent ...
I keep seeing comments that "polling doesn't work" because of some mix of recent misses and the Biden-Trump polls. But isn't it really context-specific? Individual polls have always been hit-or-miss, particularly for low-turnout primary races (MD Senate); presidential polls 6 months out have limited predictive value, etc. There are newer problems with using phone calls, internet alternatives, etc. – a separate issue. But none of that means all polls are now useless.
Published at
2024-05-15 18:37:47Event JSON
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