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petersuber /
npub1ff2…hmyu
2024-12-23 18:53:07

petersuber on Nostr: Comparing the predicted #replicability of a study with its actual replicability. ...

Comparing the predicted #replicability of a study with its actual replicability.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-024-01961-1

"Both beginners and more-experienced participants…have some ability to make better-than-chance predictions about the reliability of ‘fast science’ under conditions of high uncertainty."

For more along these lines, esp #PredictionMarkets for #replication, see the Twitter thread I started in 2020. I plan to continue that thread here in Mastodon. Watch this space.
https://x.com/petersuber/status/1259521012196167681

#Predictions #Preprints #Reproducibility
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