aff on Nostr: Forget voting polls, when it comes to elections, betting markets make extremely good ...
Forget voting polls, when it comes to elections, betting markets make extremely good predictions. When people put their money where their mouth is, the aggregate prediction of the market is as good as you are going to get.
Bettors are currently estimating that there is a 0.83 probability that Javier Milei wins the Argentinan presidential election.
Published at
2023-10-22 22:35:29Event JSON
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"content": "Forget voting polls, when it comes to elections, betting markets make extremely good predictions. When people put their money where their mouth is, the aggregate prediction of the market is as good as you are going to get. \n\nBettors are currently estimating that there is a 0.83 probability that Javier Milei wins the Argentinan presidential election.\n\n\nhttps://i.imgur.com/4OzsFEz.jpg",
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}
