DugandRupe on Nostr: Gm nostriches, not a prediction, just what the data is saying. I’m with jack ...
Gm nostriches, not a prediction, just what the data is saying.
I’m with jack mallers (npub1cn4…3vle) and ODELL (npub1qny…95gx) re 2025 price action. I wasn’t here in 2017, but things seems quite similar (67 R squared between the 2 cycles, which isn’t nothing), mainly trump and his focus on the market, but don’t get too excited. We’re 100x since then, and could price just crab walk all the way through until August before shit got wild in 2017?
Why would this happen? Surely SBR on day one means “instant moon”, BUT, only a fucking moron would announce such stuff, and say what you will, there has to be at least one person with more than an IQ of 75 in the US government, and if there is, why ever would you announce an SBR if the announcement would itself moon the price and make reaching any target magnitudes more difficult?
SO, don’t announce, but sign the documents (legal or not, they make the laws and break them), do the $mstr play and employed the Saylor Buy Bot for as long as possible without releasing the information, fUD where ever possible and then by June or so (shifted cycles), announce they’ve reached their goals early summer, price starts to run through June and July (300k?) and early September, breaches 1 million early September , then peaks at nearly 2 million mid September before market exuberance loses steam and the shorts take hold. 20x for the year, like 2017 light be doable.
Unsure of it will play out like this, but getting ready for another 6 months of crabwalking which won’t do me any harm. Also I wouldn’t be at all surprised if there was a bump to 150 soonish (they can’t contain the impact of their buying) and then some sideways boredom, but don’t get excited and “realise some profit” (🤦♂️)
Interesting side note, 4th halving took place in April compared to 2016 which was in July. Cycles are aligned with blocks not calendar dates (but I don’t have to tell you). As a result, Jan 1st 2025 is the equivalent of 29th March 2017. This is why the data suggests the peak might happen around mid September, and from the price at halving as the base, 2017 29x’d the halving price, which would out the 2025 peak at around $1.86 million (not shit)
Fun fact, cycles aligned (days since halving) 26th March 2017 and 29th December, price was 1.467 and 1.468 (respectively) the price it was on the day of the halving.
Have an awesome days freaks, take it easy, stay humble and stack sats. #bitcoin but this is no TA!!
I’m with jack mallers (npub1cn4…3vle) and ODELL (npub1qny…95gx) re 2025 price action. I wasn’t here in 2017, but things seems quite similar (67 R squared between the 2 cycles, which isn’t nothing), mainly trump and his focus on the market, but don’t get too excited. We’re 100x since then, and could price just crab walk all the way through until August before shit got wild in 2017?
Why would this happen? Surely SBR on day one means “instant moon”, BUT, only a fucking moron would announce such stuff, and say what you will, there has to be at least one person with more than an IQ of 75 in the US government, and if there is, why ever would you announce an SBR if the announcement would itself moon the price and make reaching any target magnitudes more difficult?
SO, don’t announce, but sign the documents (legal or not, they make the laws and break them), do the $mstr play and employed the Saylor Buy Bot for as long as possible without releasing the information, fUD where ever possible and then by June or so (shifted cycles), announce they’ve reached their goals early summer, price starts to run through June and July (300k?) and early September, breaches 1 million early September , then peaks at nearly 2 million mid September before market exuberance loses steam and the shorts take hold. 20x for the year, like 2017 light be doable.
Unsure of it will play out like this, but getting ready for another 6 months of crabwalking which won’t do me any harm. Also I wouldn’t be at all surprised if there was a bump to 150 soonish (they can’t contain the impact of their buying) and then some sideways boredom, but don’t get excited and “realise some profit” (🤦♂️)
Interesting side note, 4th halving took place in April compared to 2016 which was in July. Cycles are aligned with blocks not calendar dates (but I don’t have to tell you). As a result, Jan 1st 2025 is the equivalent of 29th March 2017. This is why the data suggests the peak might happen around mid September, and from the price at halving as the base, 2017 29x’d the halving price, which would out the 2025 peak at around $1.86 million (not shit)
Fun fact, cycles aligned (days since halving) 26th March 2017 and 29th December, price was 1.467 and 1.468 (respectively) the price it was on the day of the halving.
Have an awesome days freaks, take it easy, stay humble and stack sats. #bitcoin but this is no TA!!