Paul on Nostr: I might as well get this out of the way. Potentially wishful thinking once again but ...
I might as well get this out of the way. Potentially wishful thinking once again but let's see how I go
3 months ago, Labor would have been lucky to get 20 seats. Crisafulli and the LNP have had a horrible campaign which makes today a genuine contest. The last poll was at 51-49 LNP with their primary vote under 40%
I think Labor will lose a net 10 seats. The pendulum has 9 seats under 5% that would fall if there was a uniform swing, they very rarely are. I'm hoping the Greens pick up a couple and I think the independent will win Rockhampton
Katter has 4 and while they could pick up the 3 Townsville seats I don't think they will.
Nothing for One Nation
So that lands on
LNP 42
Labor 41
Greens 4
Katter 4
Independents 2
And potentially a minority Labor government
A bit like last week in the ACT I think the on the day vote will be worse than the early vote for the Liberals/LNP. That could make for a nervous night given how close I hope it'll be
#QldVotes
3 months ago, Labor would have been lucky to get 20 seats. Crisafulli and the LNP have had a horrible campaign which makes today a genuine contest. The last poll was at 51-49 LNP with their primary vote under 40%
I think Labor will lose a net 10 seats. The pendulum has 9 seats under 5% that would fall if there was a uniform swing, they very rarely are. I'm hoping the Greens pick up a couple and I think the independent will win Rockhampton
Katter has 4 and while they could pick up the 3 Townsville seats I don't think they will.
Nothing for One Nation
So that lands on
LNP 42
Labor 41
Greens 4
Katter 4
Independents 2
And potentially a minority Labor government
A bit like last week in the ACT I think the on the day vote will be worse than the early vote for the Liberals/LNP. That could make for a nervous night given how close I hope it'll be
#QldVotes