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kenso / S. O Nana
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2024-10-10 06:10:39

kenso on Nostr: πŸ” Polymarket's Prediction Market: A Challenging Landscape for Crypto Bettors ...

πŸ” Polymarket's Prediction Market: A Challenging Landscape for Crypto Bettors

πŸ—£οΈ Onchain data reveals a stark reality in the world of crypto prediction markets, with only 12.7% of Polymarket users reporting profits. The decentralized platform, which allows cryptocurrency enthusiasts to bet on world events, has seen the majority of its 171,113 wallets fail to turn a profit. Most successful traders earned less than $100, while only a small fraction managed to surpass the $1,000 mark.

πŸ“£ Despite these challenging odds, interest in crypto gambling remains high. Polymarket has facilitated 10.8 million betting trades, with recent daily volumes exceeding 300,000 due to current global events and the upcoming U.S. presidential election. The platform's open interest stands at an impressive $161.1 million, indicating continued engagement from participants despite the low success rate.

πŸ’¬ What factors do you think contribute to the low percentage of profitable wallets on Polymarket, and how might this data impact the future of crypto prediction markets?



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