Max Kennerly on Nostr: NYT/Siena is the GOAT of skewed polls. They undersample GOP demos to ensure their ...

NYT/Siena is the GOAT of skewed polls. They undersample GOP demos to ensure their sample is extra pro-MAGA, then overweigh that unrepresentative sample.

Here's their sample % versus likely voter % weighing:

Republican
29% 🔼 34%

Age 65+
23% 🔼 29%

Edu no college
16% 🔼 27%

White
62% 🔼 66%

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/09/08/us/politics/times-siena-poll-toplines.html