jenbanim on Nostr: npub1tqlth…yxvec yeah, aggregating polls effectively gives you a larger sample size ...
npub1tqltharn8mmngg849hs0qpyj2f8xt37uawvj0rqap6gpefg78dsqlyxvec (npub1tql…xvec) yeah, aggregating polls effectively gives you a larger sample size and therefore a lower MOE as well as evening out the bias of individual pollsters
That said, they can still miss bad if there is a systematic bias that affects a majority of the pollsters, such as unexpectedly high turnouts of a particular demographic. If everyone is making the same incorrect assumptions the aggregate will be confidently wrong
Polling isn't exactly non-scientific, but it's impossible to be super rigorous
Published at
2024-09-25 00:27:11Event JSON
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"content": "nostr:npub1tqltharn8mmngg849hs0qpyj2f8xt37uawvj0rqap6gpefg78dsqlyxvec yeah, aggregating polls effectively gives you a larger sample size and therefore a lower MOE as well as evening out the bias of individual pollsters\n\nThat said, they can still miss bad if there is a systematic bias that affects a majority of the pollsters, such as unexpectedly high turnouts of a particular demographic. If everyone is making the same incorrect assumptions the aggregate will be confidently wrong\n\nPolling isn't exactly non-scientific, but it's impossible to be super rigorous",
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