Futurist Jim Carroll on Nostr: Daily Inspiration: "Align to reality. Ignore the hype!" - Futurist Jim Carroll When ...
Daily Inspiration: "Align to reality. Ignore the hype!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
When does the future happen?
The best answer I can give you is this: It won't happen as quickly as you think and yet is unfolding extremely fast, and even so, might also happen suddenly, all at once.
Makes sense?
I know I've shared the issue of hype here before, but it is such an important issue that I had to put it on my list of things I will think about as I go into 2025. You should too. Understanding particular trends not only the trends themselves, but very much the timing of those trends. If we can better understand that timing, we can better understand the future.
Let's think about that in the context of the topic-du-jour, artificial intelligence.
Has it run its course? Is it real? Is it hype? How do we judge its reality?
That's a good question, and in a short answer, both yes and no and maybe.
One of the most important tools I use on stage when helping folks understand tomorrow is the Gartner Hype Cycle. For many years, it was released by a research firm as a way to guide people through the inevitable path that any particular trend follows.
Every single trend since the beginning of time goes through the curve. The trend appears - the Innovation Triggerwhich sets it free. Eventually, everyone gets overly excited about the trend, and the hype becomes intense as we hit the Peak of Inflated Expectations. Eventually, though, people see through the hype, and realize it will take a lot of effort to see any real benefit from the trend - and so we hit the Trough of Disillusionment. We then take some time to learn about it, experiment with it, and go through the Slope of Enlightenment.
.
AI? Some of the promises and perils are certainly overstated ("Everyone is going to lose their job to an AI!"), and in my view and others, we are clearly at the Peak of Inflated Expectations with AI from a general perspective. T
That doesn't mean it's not real. It means you need to understand how the future unfolds.
Read the whole post.
**#AI** **#Hype** **#Future** **#Innovation** **#Reality** **#Trends** **#Evolution** **#Technology** **#Transformation** **#Timing**
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2024/12/daily-inspiration-25-things-for-2025-12-align-to-reality-ignore-the-hype/
When does the future happen?
The best answer I can give you is this: It won't happen as quickly as you think and yet is unfolding extremely fast, and even so, might also happen suddenly, all at once.
Makes sense?
I know I've shared the issue of hype here before, but it is such an important issue that I had to put it on my list of things I will think about as I go into 2025. You should too. Understanding particular trends not only the trends themselves, but very much the timing of those trends. If we can better understand that timing, we can better understand the future.
Let's think about that in the context of the topic-du-jour, artificial intelligence.
Has it run its course? Is it real? Is it hype? How do we judge its reality?
That's a good question, and in a short answer, both yes and no and maybe.
One of the most important tools I use on stage when helping folks understand tomorrow is the Gartner Hype Cycle. For many years, it was released by a research firm as a way to guide people through the inevitable path that any particular trend follows.
Every single trend since the beginning of time goes through the curve. The trend appears - the Innovation Triggerwhich sets it free. Eventually, everyone gets overly excited about the trend, and the hype becomes intense as we hit the Peak of Inflated Expectations. Eventually, though, people see through the hype, and realize it will take a lot of effort to see any real benefit from the trend - and so we hit the Trough of Disillusionment. We then take some time to learn about it, experiment with it, and go through the Slope of Enlightenment.
.
AI? Some of the promises and perils are certainly overstated ("Everyone is going to lose their job to an AI!"), and in my view and others, we are clearly at the Peak of Inflated Expectations with AI from a general perspective. T
That doesn't mean it's not real. It means you need to understand how the future unfolds.
Read the whole post.
**#AI** **#Hype** **#Future** **#Innovation** **#Reality** **#Trends** **#Evolution** **#Technology** **#Transformation** **#Timing**
Original post: https://jimcarroll.com/2024/12/daily-inspiration-25-things-for-2025-12-align-to-reality-ignore-the-hype/