matt on Nostr: I wasn’t gonna post about the war, but it’s worth pointing out: Israel is ...
I wasn’t gonna post about the war, but it’s worth pointing out: Israel is decisively losing.
Hamas’ goals are:
* to reduce global (esp US/EU) support for Israel, even if that only reaches the halls of power in a decade,
* to ensure palestinians (continue to) feel powerless and targeted. Bonus points if the war creates more orphans, their recruiting base. Both ensure the organization will be around in a decade.
Maybe also worth pointing out that this isn’t losing for Netenyahu. Wartime unity is maybe the only thing left that could possibly save his political career. Maximizing the deployment and force deployed contributes to that.
https://www.csis.org/analysis/israel-could-lose
Hamas’ goals are:
* to reduce global (esp US/EU) support for Israel, even if that only reaches the halls of power in a decade,
* to ensure palestinians (continue to) feel powerless and targeted. Bonus points if the war creates more orphans, their recruiting base. Both ensure the organization will be around in a decade.
Maybe also worth pointing out that this isn’t losing for Netenyahu. Wartime unity is maybe the only thing left that could possibly save his political career. Maximizing the deployment and force deployed contributes to that.
https://www.csis.org/analysis/israel-could-lose