The Historical Performance of the Stock Market Under Republican and Democratic Control of Congress and the Presidency on Nostr: How Market Perceptions of the US Presidential Election are Influencing Financial ...
How Market Perceptions of the US Presidential Election are Influencing Financial Asset Prices: A Historical Perspective
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#36f6e0a2 ver:0.4
Investment firm Piper Sandler analyzes how market perceptions of the US Presidential election influence financial asset prices. Gold and silver have positive returns with incumbent victory odds, while energy stocks perform well if the incumbent is re-elected. A long-short portfolio maximizes expected returns assuming a Biden win, with long positions in energy, silver, and gold, and short positions in tech stocks, 10-year U.S. Treasuries, health, and consumer discretionary stocks. The S&P 500 is estimated to rise by 3.1% if Biden wins and fall by 1.8% if he loses. History shows the stock market rises regardless of the candidate chosen, but a divided Congress has produced the highest average annual returns. #USPresidentialElection #FinancialMarkets...
#newstr #UsPresidentialElection #FinancialAssetPrices #MarketPerceptions #HistoricalStockMarketReturns #JoeBiden #SplitCongress #PolicyProposals #EconomicHeadwinds
https://here.news/story/36f6e0a2?ver=0.4
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#36f6e0a2 ver:0.4
Investment firm Piper Sandler analyzes how market perceptions of the US Presidential election influence financial asset prices. Gold and silver have positive returns with incumbent victory odds, while energy stocks perform well if the incumbent is re-elected. A long-short portfolio maximizes expected returns assuming a Biden win, with long positions in energy, silver, and gold, and short positions in tech stocks, 10-year U.S. Treasuries, health, and consumer discretionary stocks. The S&P 500 is estimated to rise by 3.1% if Biden wins and fall by 1.8% if he loses. History shows the stock market rises regardless of the candidate chosen, but a divided Congress has produced the highest average annual returns. #USPresidentialElection #FinancialMarkets...
#newstr #UsPresidentialElection #FinancialAssetPrices #MarketPerceptions #HistoricalStockMarketReturns #JoeBiden #SplitCongress #PolicyProposals #EconomicHeadwinds
https://here.news/story/36f6e0a2?ver=0.4