What is Nostr?
Bill Woodcock /
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2024-02-27 09:01:11
in reply to nevent1q…4ah0

Bill Woodcock on Nostr: npub1w30vk…qdh68 Careful repeating this, it contains a lot of misinformation; ...

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Careful repeating this, it contains a lot of misinformation; perhaps disinformation. The only source for the attribution to the Houthis is a single anonymous Twitter account. It's actually three cables not four (Seacom and TGN are the same cable on that segment) and the interarrival time of these outages is not out-of-the-ordinary.

Also, there's no observed effect yet, in the sense that all traffic observed thus far is being successfully re-routed, so there's no "harm" in the sense of public impact.

To my view, the most important issue is that cable repair ships are, while well-insured, also slow and expensive to build, so it may be that the reason we've stacked up three outages at once is because nobody feels like risking the future revenue of a cable ship that ventures into an area with live anti-ship missile fire.

Also worthy of note that we've been in exactly this situation before, in 2008 and 2011.
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