Chris Liss on Nostr: I’m often tempted to list all the “conspiracy theories” out there and put a ...
I’m often tempted to list all the “conspiracy theories” out there and put a percentage on how likely I think they are to be true.
Like covid came from a lab (too obvious) is 99.99%. The moon landing was faked (20%), etc. We don’t know very much for sure, and these percentages would change as more information comes out.
Of course, putting numbers on it creates a false impression of precision when there is none. My take on the moon landing being fake is “plausible but not likely.” I just made up 20 percent. It might as well be 5 percent or 30 percent. I would be surprised if it were ascertainably verified as fake. But I would not be shocked — at least not anymore.
You will take criticism from both sides for doing this too. The normies will be like, LOL, you nut job, you really think there’s a 20 percent chance the moon landing was faked!
And then other people will be like, LOL, you credulous normie, you think there’s an 80 percent chance we had that tech in 1969 and haven’t been back since!
I don’t claim my numbers are correct. The only thing I know for sure is it’s not zero percent and not 100 either.
Like covid came from a lab (too obvious) is 99.99%. The moon landing was faked (20%), etc. We don’t know very much for sure, and these percentages would change as more information comes out.
Of course, putting numbers on it creates a false impression of precision when there is none. My take on the moon landing being fake is “plausible but not likely.” I just made up 20 percent. It might as well be 5 percent or 30 percent. I would be surprised if it were ascertainably verified as fake. But I would not be shocked — at least not anymore.
You will take criticism from both sides for doing this too. The normies will be like, LOL, you nut job, you really think there’s a 20 percent chance the moon landing was faked!
And then other people will be like, LOL, you credulous normie, you think there’s an 80 percent chance we had that tech in 1969 and haven’t been back since!
I don’t claim my numbers are correct. The only thing I know for sure is it’s not zero percent and not 100 either.