MAHDOOD on Nostr: You’re a smart guy and you do your research. I respect that. But humans have free ...
You’re a smart guy and you do your research. I respect that. But humans have free will. We can always choose to act differently. I’ve seen people make dramatic changes based on meaningful events like a near death experience or loss of a loved one. These things break those predictive algorithms and experiments they run. This is why these things are not enough to start up a business and become extremely rich off it. A lot of factors come into play. You can’t reproduce apple for example. If these nudge units worked with great accuracy, you could use them for a lot more profitable things that require less moving parts. Why couldn’t they predict how bad doge would be for Elon and Tesla? There is a country where cops were attacking farmers and the farmers built guns at home and killed them then took their guns and are now fighting back. I don’t remember the name of the country but I’m sure you heard about it. Why couldn’t they predict that? I’ve argued about this sort of thing with people before and it’s frustrating because there is no grounded position. If things go wrong, it’s part of the plan and a learning experience. If things go right, then their predictions work. I think
Sachin (npub1xnc…3qnl) knows the Mises position on this and how we can’t truly predict human behavior. It’s from human action.
And what do you mean that blockstream came through? What did they do? Why didn’t they shut down bitcoin before it became sufficiently decentralized? Why didn’t they predict it will weaken their power?
Published at
2025-04-23 18:17:54Event JSON
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"content": "You’re a smart guy and you do your research. I respect that. But humans have free will. We can always choose to act differently. I’ve seen people make dramatic changes based on meaningful events like a near death experience or loss of a loved one. These things break those predictive algorithms and experiments they run. This is why these things are not enough to start up a business and become extremely rich off it. A lot of factors come into play. You can’t reproduce apple for example. If these nudge units worked with great accuracy, you could use them for a lot more profitable things that require less moving parts. Why couldn’t they predict how bad doge would be for Elon and Tesla? There is a country where cops were attacking farmers and the farmers built guns at home and killed them then took their guns and are now fighting back. I don’t remember the name of the country but I’m sure you heard about it. Why couldn’t they predict that? I’ve argued about this sort of thing with people before and it’s frustrating because there is no grounded position. If things go wrong, it’s part of the plan and a learning experience. If things go right, then their predictions work. I think nostr:npub1xnc64f432zx7pw4n7zrvf02mh4a4p7zej3gude52e92leqmw8ntqd43qnl knows the Mises position on this and how we can’t truly predict human behavior. It’s from human action.\n\n\nAnd what do you mean that blockstream came through? What did they do? Why didn’t they shut down bitcoin before it became sufficiently decentralized? Why didn’t they predict it will weaken their power?",
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