calvincroll on Nostr: I agree with the conclusion that robots being able to accomplish generalized ...

I agree with the conclusion that robots being able to accomplish generalized high-skill trades work is a long way off, however, I think the heuristic doesn't work. There Roomba is like a narrow intelligence, say Deep Blue playing chess. Deep Blue beat Kasparov in 1996. Going on 20 years and still no AGI. So, I don't think that if someone solves for a great Roomba that signals tradesmen robots are around the corner.

I think about this a lot. I am an electrician, mostly working on residences. I would love to be able to hire an assistant bot. But the amount of adaptation that is needed for the specific puzzle of each job seems tough to solve for on the cognitive side. Even more so, the physical side, moving through crawl spaces and crawling over attic rafters, seems very far away for robots. Maybe bots that work in commercial settings building conduit in warehouses that are wide open, but homes have some tight spaces that wires run through!