SwBratcher on Nostr: If I was a bet’n man… Here’s my take: Current market conditions suggest a ...
If I was a bet’n man…
Here’s my take:
Current market conditions suggest a Bitcoin price spike may be imminent, driven by a mix of intentional macroeconomic pressures and bullish fundamentals. The new U.S. administration is deliberately unsettling markets, jobs, and the dollar—through tariff threats, government layoffs, and oil price suppression—to force the Fed to cut interest rates, likely by May or June, easing a $1 trillion bond rollover burden. This engineered downturn, paired with a $1.5 trillion surge in global M2 money supply (correlating 83% with Bitcoin’s past rallies), sets the stage for liquidity-driven growth. Extreme fear, panic selling, and a potential equity bottom (90% complete per JP Morgan) signal capitulation, often a precursor to reversal. Meanwhile, unprecedented fundamentals—U.S. plans for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Brazil and China eyeing similar moves, banks issuing stablecoins (adding $1 trillion+ in liquidity), and mainstream adoption by institutions like Spain’s second-largest bank and Singapore’s Stock Exchange—bolster Bitcoin’s outlook. As these macro headwinds subside and liquidity floods in, possibly by April or May, Bitcoin could rally toward $150k by mid-year.
Here’s my bet:
$5 says Bitcoin has gone over $135k by Aug 31
Here’s my take:
Current market conditions suggest a Bitcoin price spike may be imminent, driven by a mix of intentional macroeconomic pressures and bullish fundamentals. The new U.S. administration is deliberately unsettling markets, jobs, and the dollar—through tariff threats, government layoffs, and oil price suppression—to force the Fed to cut interest rates, likely by May or June, easing a $1 trillion bond rollover burden. This engineered downturn, paired with a $1.5 trillion surge in global M2 money supply (correlating 83% with Bitcoin’s past rallies), sets the stage for liquidity-driven growth. Extreme fear, panic selling, and a potential equity bottom (90% complete per JP Morgan) signal capitulation, often a precursor to reversal. Meanwhile, unprecedented fundamentals—U.S. plans for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Brazil and China eyeing similar moves, banks issuing stablecoins (adding $1 trillion+ in liquidity), and mainstream adoption by institutions like Spain’s second-largest bank and Singapore’s Stock Exchange—bolster Bitcoin’s outlook. As these macro headwinds subside and liquidity floods in, possibly by April or May, Bitcoin could rally toward $150k by mid-year.
Here’s my bet:
$5 says Bitcoin has gone over $135k by Aug 31