jsm on Nostr: The principle honestly goes for most Musk statements. 19 out of 20 times he’s ...
The principle honestly goes for most Musk statements. 19 out of 20 times he’s spewing total bullshit but 5% of the time they do something crazy like catch a rocket. 5% is a solid base rate for any Musk statement actually happening.
Forecasting tip, whenever Elon says something about xAI, immediately bet that it won’t happen. Literally every time they release a model everyone on twitter huddles up to hype it and then it comes out as the most bland model that was already outdated before the training run began.
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Published at
2025-02-11 06:22:53Event JSON
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