Runy Calmera on Nostr: Update: Mr. Trump’s tariff’s wars are gling to hurt the USA citizens and USA ...
Update: Mr. Trump’s tariff’s wars are gling to hurt the USA citizens and USA economy and lead to an increase in the Bitcoin price
Here is an update on what Mr. Trumps tariff wars against Canada, Mexico, China could mean for the USA citizens, the USA economy and for Bitcoin:
1. Tariffs lead to increase in prices in USA. Somebody has to pay
2. Companies will push up prices because they need to pass down the tariffs
3. Imports will decline
4. If labour unions see purchasing power of their workers decline they demand higher wages (like happened to Starbucks workers)
5. With higher wage demands, now profits decline, investments decline. If you can’t make profits you postpone investments.
6. Consumption declines because purchasing power of wages went down.
7. If investments are down, consumption down you now have a declining economy of USA! A recession!!
8. Profits going down means Wall Street panicks. Earnings going down so price earnings ratios (which are too high) comming down fast. Like with the AI chip sector/NVidia, Deepseek competitor: the air is out of all those stocks.
9. Now the story continues in the monetary area of the economy: the FED comes in and decreases interest rates, and prints more fiat currency to get a recovery of the recession.
10. FED pumping more liquidity in means…. People will seek digital scarcity: Bitcoin price going up because more demand.
11. So here you see all the indirect effects of these tariff wars. It can backfire against USA. Tariffs will not only hurt China, Canada, and Mexico: they will hurt the USA and there is a scenario where it benefits Bitcoin.
12. On top of this there is disruption of supply chains. People hoarding stuff because they think tariffs are going to be imposed. Almost all government measures lead to inflation.
Like Mr. Jeff Buut says: prices are supposed to go down for ever through innovation and increased productivity. But when government comes in with policy it is most of the time inflationary.
If you want to see this play out check my episode where I show the impact by running an economic model scenario and join my VIP lounge for my 16 week journey about the USA economy.
http://bit.ly/usa-macro-investment-model
I will be going on a journey with 50 people where we understand how the USA economy works, where we get all the data about the economy, where we run scenarios and we analyze what this all means for our wealth, our net worth, and the future of our families.
Runy
Host Island Wealth
Here is an update on what Mr. Trumps tariff wars against Canada, Mexico, China could mean for the USA citizens, the USA economy and for Bitcoin:
1. Tariffs lead to increase in prices in USA. Somebody has to pay
2. Companies will push up prices because they need to pass down the tariffs
3. Imports will decline
4. If labour unions see purchasing power of their workers decline they demand higher wages (like happened to Starbucks workers)
5. With higher wage demands, now profits decline, investments decline. If you can’t make profits you postpone investments.
6. Consumption declines because purchasing power of wages went down.
7. If investments are down, consumption down you now have a declining economy of USA! A recession!!
8. Profits going down means Wall Street panicks. Earnings going down so price earnings ratios (which are too high) comming down fast. Like with the AI chip sector/NVidia, Deepseek competitor: the air is out of all those stocks.
9. Now the story continues in the monetary area of the economy: the FED comes in and decreases interest rates, and prints more fiat currency to get a recovery of the recession.
10. FED pumping more liquidity in means…. People will seek digital scarcity: Bitcoin price going up because more demand.
11. So here you see all the indirect effects of these tariff wars. It can backfire against USA. Tariffs will not only hurt China, Canada, and Mexico: they will hurt the USA and there is a scenario where it benefits Bitcoin.
12. On top of this there is disruption of supply chains. People hoarding stuff because they think tariffs are going to be imposed. Almost all government measures lead to inflation.
Like Mr. Jeff Buut says: prices are supposed to go down for ever through innovation and increased productivity. But when government comes in with policy it is most of the time inflationary.
If you want to see this play out check my episode where I show the impact by running an economic model scenario and join my VIP lounge for my 16 week journey about the USA economy.
http://bit.ly/usa-macro-investment-model
I will be going on a journey with 50 people where we understand how the USA economy works, where we get all the data about the economy, where we run scenarios and we analyze what this all means for our wealth, our net worth, and the future of our families.
Runy
Host Island Wealth